Queenstown-Lakes District Council

O-23-058 Demand Projections

Queenstown Lakes District is considered a high growth district in New Zealand. To address this challenge and help with future planning, comprehensive demand projections have been developed. This is important to ensure that Queenstown Lakes District Council meets the requirements of the National Policy Statement for Urban Development.

Demand Projections are forecasts of future demand based on current data and are used to assist short-term and long-term planning needs. Projections cover resident and tourist population, houses and ratings units for a 30-year period. They provide council with justifiable evidence-based forecasts and are utilised by numerous external agencies and also form the basis of assumptions in many key Queenstown Lakes District Council workflows.

The current projections were adopted in March 2022 and replaced the previous projections from 2020. The projections are periodically updated to ensure they remain current and are considering the most recent and relevant data. Since the last update, Stats NZ has revised its population estimates and projections, a further twelve months of tourism activity has been observed since the border reopening, and the housing market has been further influenced by economic factors.

Queenstown Lakes District Council wishes to purchase services to produce comprehensive demand projections covering resident and visitor populations, housing and rating units, forecast out 30 years for each Queenstown Lakes District community. The projections will be reviewed and updated on an annual basis for three consecutive years